Paper Title
A Cold Chain Packaging Risk Management System Based on Bayesian Network

Abstract
Abstract - Cold chain packaging failure can lead to serious cold chain disruptions, and the management of the cold chain packaging related risks is essential. The purpose of this paper is to develop a risk management model for cold chain packaging. The risk management model is designed based on literature review on the related topics. Bayesian Network is applied in the model, which key risk factors are identified. Risk factors of the cold chain packaging are identified and assessed. The risks are categorised into external, supply chain, logistical, information and shipping solution selection related risks. The study contributes to provide the knowledge needed of understanding the risks of cold chain packaging. It can serve as a guideline for all the stakeholders in the cold chain industry, e.g. for cold chain logistic managers and consultants, to manage risk regarding the packaging along the cold chain. This is the first risk management model proposed on the field of cold chain packaging, which concerns with both packaging itself and also with its impact on the overall cold chain. Industry practitioners can apply this model to assess the effectiveness of their cold chain packaging. Keywords - Cold Chain, Packaging, Shipping Solutions, Risk Management, Bayesian Network, Supply Chain Risk Management